Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 3.769883 4.044336 4.336980 4.673606 5.051840 5.465708 5.955569
2025-04-27 3.375427 3.771375 4.221376 4.776579 5.451588 6.257058 7.308958
2025-05-04 3.134912 3.600961 4.154633 4.873264 5.800674 6.986360 8.669041
2025-05-11 2.913678 3.414598 4.029382 4.858530 5.979712 7.495997 9.806736
2025-05-18 2.728380 3.248557 3.903817 4.815741 6.098253 7.919603 10.880864
2025-05-25 2.541301 3.062089 3.731196 4.685240 6.069237 8.114248 11.625671
2025-06-01 2.396793 2.918843 3.601576 4.596819 6.082800 8.363055 12.494855
2025-06-08 2.304949 2.837744 3.547402 4.606129 6.236249 8.843181 13.864004
2025-06-15 2.242798 2.791448 3.535808 4.672893 6.480639 9.502248 15.730862
2025-06-22 2.118117 2.652119 3.384034 4.517032 6.351423 9.497405 16.253112
2025-06-29 2.019829 2.544409 3.270885 4.410820 6.291587 9.605476 17.043048
2025-07-06 1.934871 2.451228 3.173298 4.320966 6.249020 9.736843 17.918591
2025-07-13 1.863440 2.377112 3.104034 4.277925 6.295200 10.069100 19.452886
2025-07-20 1.832198 2.359364 3.117647 4.369461 6.590407 10.952061 22.795998
2025-07-27 1.801303 2.340098 3.127102 4.453943 6.882269 11.889096 26.816421
2025-08-03 1.749244 2.286967 3.081215 4.441114 6.988361 12.440148 29.968542
2025-08-10 1.695388 2.228643 3.023871 4.403801 7.041777 12.880092 33.030052
2025-08-17 1.627969 2.147298 2.926415 4.289853 6.930358 12.902495 34.520029
2025-08-24 1.572901 2.082585 2.852410 4.212522 6.885909 13.086286 36.845725
2025-08-31 1.539635 2.049644 2.827433 4.220669 7.018933 13.755702 41.958841
2025-09-07 1.518721 2.034631 2.830349 4.279060 7.264963 14.790613 50.162596
2025-09-14 1.459835 1.958947 2.731015 4.142653 7.072075 14.546860 50.842762
2025-09-21 1.412467 1.899823 2.656873 4.049516 6.968112 14.549984 53.199666